Introduction

The United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union (Brexit) has had a negligible impact beyond expressions of regret from member states. However, the current political climate in the UK and the potential for a change in leadership could significantly alter the landscape of EU-UK relations. This article delves into the implications of Brexit on European policies and explores the future possibilities for a more productive trading relationship.

Keywords: Brexit, EU policies, post-Brexit relations

Current State of EU-UK Relations

The European Union (EU) is not bitter about Brexit. The EU’s approach to Brexit is business-like and practical. A vibrant UK economy benefits certain economically important sectors within the EU. However, the EU must be careful not to undermine the economies of its member countries. This balancing act is crucial in determining the extent to which the UK can negotiate a more productive trading relationship.

Bregret and Political Significance

The latest survey data, as of November 2022, indicates a growing trend of “Bregret” in the UK. This sentiment stems from the realization that the consequences of Brexit have been detrimental, especially for UK citizens. The current UK government, dominated by hardcore Brexiteers in the ERG (Eurosceptic Research Group), is unlikely to reconsider its stance in the near future.

A potential political sea change could occur with the upcoming election. If the Conservative Party (Tories) experiences a significant defeat, this could mark the beginning of a new era in UK-EU relations. Other parties may adopt a more measured approach, leading to a manifesto pledge to re-negotiate a more favorable relationship with the EU, similar to what was initially promised.

EU Perspective and Future Negotiations

The EU would likely welcome a more flexible approach from the UK. Despite the current hardline stance, changes in UK leadership could see a shift towards a more productive trading relationship. If such a shift occurs, the EU is likely to be receptive, aiming to negotiate a more beneficial agreement for both parties.

The remaining hardcore Brexiteers in the UK may resist such change, but their political relevance will be minimal, much like the Flat Earth Society.

Impact on European Health Policies

The impact of Brexit on European health policies, particularly in the area of vaccine rollouts, is significant. Public health remains the responsibility of individual member states, and Brexit does not directly impact this sector. However, the EU’s unified approach to vaccine approval and distribution has implications for the UK and other member states.

Interplay Between EU and UK on Vaccines

Upon Brexit, the UK was expected to contribute to and be part of a seamless health policy framework within the EU. However, the UK’s behavior on agreements, including the Northern Ireland Protocol, indicates a lack of understanding of the implications. The UK’s focus on appearing to “get one over” the EU does little to benefit UK citizens if it results in significant economic damage.

The EU’s cautious approach to vaccine approval has been beneficial in reducing the risk of side effects. This approach has also led to a pause in the rollout of certain vaccines in various member states. In contrast, the US and UK vaccinated their populations more swiftly, and some EU member states are concerned about reduced vaccine supply due to exports to other countries.

Smaller member states would likely face significant challenges in sourcing vaccines without the EU’s unified procurement efforts. The virus’s lack of respect for international borders underscores the interconnectedness of global health policies and the necessity of a coordinated response.

Conclusion

The impact of Brexit on European policies is complex, with implications extending beyond immediate economic considerations. The EU’s business-like approach and cautious vaccine strategy showcase the magnitude of the issues at play. As the political landscape in the UK evolves, the potential for a more balanced and productive trading relationship with the EU becomes increasingly plausible. The EU’s welcome of a change in heart is contingent upon a more flexible and collaborative approach from the UK.

Keywords: Brexit, EU policies, post-Brexit relations