How Ready is the UK for Brexit After the Transition Period Ended?
The deadline for extending the Brexit transition period at the end of 2020 has passed with the UK refusing to extend it further. This leaves many questioning whether the UK is truly prepared for the challenges that lie ahead. This article delves into the readiness of the UK for Brexit and the steps that have been taken to ensure smooth transition.
Current State of the UK's Preparedness
Ministers seem reluctant to acknowledge the gravity of the situation, with our Prime Minister often appearing as if he is 'missing in action' (pun intended). The recent stance has been seen as a double-edged sword, raising the stakes dramatically with the EU, while also eliminating any further delays. It's akin to sinking one's own ship and commanding the crew to attack the other vessel – if they lose, they die.
The risks are high, and the EU knows the UK is resolute. If negotiations succeed, the UK might appear as the most masterful negotiator in the world. If they fail, the UK can claim it was the EU who was unreasonably inflexible. Despite assurances that border control will not be established until next year, due to the ongoing effects of COVID-19, the UK's preparedness for alternative scenarios is questionable.
Concrete Steps Taken
As of now, the UK has officially left the EU, a major step forward. There is no point in extending the transition period any further, given that the country voted to leave four years ago. The uncertainty has been detrimental to businesses, and it's crucial to move forward. The economy has been severely affected by the coronavirus lockdown measures, making it even more imperative to avoid further delays.
The UK was well-prepared for a no-deal scenario before the 2019 decision to block no-deal planning was made. Hauliers have expressed satisfaction that Brexit is finally happening, and ports were ready for no-deal scenarios in 2019. Air traffic will continue to operate as normal, with flights in and out of EU countries, suggesting limited impact on aviation. The UK's preparedness for WTO terms is well-established, given its existing trading relationships.
International Reactions and Future Prospects
Other countries' reactions and the WTO's warnings about potential backfire highlights the global impact of Brexit. Countries outside the EU will form their own opinions on the matter, and it's crucial for the UK to present a united and robust front.
The EU has certainly faced difficulties with their own no-deal planning, which they did not expect the UK to follow through with. Therefore, they may not have been as prepared as the UK. While some kind of deal is likely before the December deadline, the intentions of the UK and the EU need to align for a successful outcome.
Conclusion
The readiness for Brexit is a complex issue, with both opportunities and risks. While significant steps have been taken, including leaving the EU, the UK must remain vigilant in negotiating a favorable trade deal. The alignment of domestic and international opinions will ultimately determine the success of Brexit negotiations.