Presidential Race Uncertainty: Will Joe Biden Resign or Be Forced Out?
The ongoing confusion and division within the Democratic Party surrounding Joe Biden's potential candidacy has led to questions about whether he will need to resign or could be forced out of the race. Given the current political climate and the Democratic Party's stance, it is highly unlikely that Biden would be forced out or removed through legal or procedural means.
No Mechanism for Forced Removal
While there is growing pressure on Biden due to his poor poll numbers, there is currently no mechanism within the Democratic Party rules that would allow for Joe Biden’s removal. The party rules require pledged delegates to reflect the sentiments of those who elected them, based on the primary vote. This means that even if some delegates are unhappy with Biden, it would be both unprecedented and potentially chaotic for most of them to ignore this stipulation.
Potential for Voluntary Withdrawal
Voluntary withdrawal remains the most plausible scenario. It would require a massive shift in the political landscape and a significant change in the public's perception of Biden. His handlers may be keen on keeping him in the race, but it’s equally possible that Biden himself will eventually feel the need to drop out due to mounting pressure and the realization that remaining in the race could further damage his candidacy.
Unpredictable Outcomes
By the time of writing, on July 9, 2024, it is difficult to predict with certainty when and how Biden will ultimately decide to drop out. Several factors will contribute to this decision, including the political pressure, internal party dynamics, and the evolving public sentiment. However, it is clear that as the race progresses, the likelihood of Biden voluntarily withdrawing increases.
Future Scenarios
Assuming that Biden does choose to drop out, the future of the Democratic Party and the U.S. presidential race will be uncertain. The party will have to decide on a new nominee, and the nation will face the challenges of a transition without its current front-runner. The exact outcome and timing of this decision are yet to be determined, but the political landscape is in a state of flux.