Probability of Selecting More Girls than Boys

Probability of Selecting More Girls than Boys from a Class

In this article, we will explore the probability of selecting a group of students where there are more girls than boys from a specific class composition. Let's break down the problem and illustrate the solution using combinatorial methods.

Overview of the Problem

The problem at hand is as follows: If there are five boys and eight girls in a class, what is the probability that when five students are selected at random, more girls than boys are chosen?

Basic Concepts and Notations

Before delving into the solution, it's important to understand some basic combinatorial notations:

{n choose r}: This represents the number of ways to choose r items from n items, without regard to the order of selection.

Step-by-Step Solution

Let's use the notation GB to denote the event of selecting a girl or a boy respectively.

We need to consider different distributions of girls and boys:

0 boys and 5 girls 1 boy and 4 girls 2 boys and 3 girls 3 boys and 2 girls (Not a valid case since we are selecting only 5 students in total) 4 boys and 1 girl (Not a valid case since we are selecting only 5 students in total) 5 boys and 0 girls (Not a valid case since there are only 8 girls)

Calculations for Each Case

Case 1: 0 Boys and 5 Girls

There are 5 choose 0 ways to choose 0 boys, and 8 choose 5 ways to choose 5 girls:

5 choose 0 1

8 choose 5 56

Total cases: 1 times; 56 56

Case 2: 1 Boy and 4 Girls

There are 5 choose 1 ways to choose 1 boy, and 8 choose 4 ways to choose 4 girls:

5 choose 1 5

8 choose 4 70

Total cases: 5 times; 70 350

Case 3: 2 Boys and 3 Girls

There are 5 choose 2 ways to choose 2 boys, and 8 choose 3 ways to choose 3 girls:

5 choose 2 10

8 choose 3 56

Total cases: 10 times; 56 560

Total Probability

The total number of ways to choose 5 students out of 13 is:

13 choose 5 1287

Therefore, the probability of selecting more girls than boys is:

(frac{56 350 560}{1287} frac{966}{1287} frac{322}{429})

Which is approximately 0.750583.

Conclusion

Using combinatorial methods, we can calculate the probability of selecting more girls than boys from a specific class composition. The final probability is approximately 0.750583, which can be useful in various real-life scenarios and educational settings.

Further Reading

If you're interested in learning more about probability and combinatorics, consider exploring the following topics:

Binomial Distribution Conditional Probability Permutations and Combinations

Understanding these concepts can help you solve more complex problems in statistics and probability.